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Compiled daily
The latest day’s highs against normal
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- 3 °C or more below normal
- within 3 °C of normal
- 3 to 6 °C above
- 6 °C or more above
- in a heatwave
All 48 cities
Sorted by how far the latest high is above the city’s normal for the date. The last column counts the days this year that were part of a heatwave, with the 1991–2020 average by the same date in brackets.
| City | Latest high | Normal for the date | Against normal | Heatwave days this year (normal by now) |
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Show the other — cities
| City | Latest high | Normal for the date | Against normal | Heatwave days this year (normal by now) |
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One city, the last 60 days
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Has this been a year of heatwaves?
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A warming world makes heatwaves hotter and more frequent
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- More and hotter. It is virtually certain that hot extremes, including heatwaves, have become more frequent and more intense across most land regions since the 1950s, and human-caused climate change is the main driver (IPCC AR6, 2021, statement A.3.1).
- Every half degree counts. Every additional 0.5 °C of global warming causes clearly discernible increases in the intensity and frequency of hot extremes, including heatwaves (IPCC AR6, statement B.2.2).
- Impossible without warming. The late-June 2021 heatwave in the Pacific Northwest of the US and Canada, which set Canada’s record of 49.6 °C at Lytton, was virtually impossible without human-caused climate change (Philip et al. 2022).
Heat kills
Heat-related deaths are counted only afterwards, by comparing deaths with what would be expected without the heat. Estimates for Europe, where daily death records are best:
- Summer 2003: more than 70,000 additional deaths in 16 European countries (Robine et al. 2008).
- Summer 2022, then Europe’s hottest on record: an estimated 61,672 heat-related deaths in 35 countries between 30 May and 4 September (range 37,643–86,807; Ballester et al. 2023).
- 2023: an estimated 47,690 heat-related deaths (range 28,853–66,525); without the adaptation made since 2000, the toll would have been about 80% higher (Gallo et al. 2024).
- Summer 2010 in Russia and eastern Europe was hotter and covered a wider area than 2003; such “mega-heatwaves” likely broke 500-year summer records over about half of Europe (Barriopedro et al. 2011).
What drives this
- El Niño →During El Niño the Pacific releases heat, briefly lifting world temperatures.
- Ocean heat →The oceans store most of the extra heat trapped by greenhouse gases.
What this drives
- Wildfires →Heat dries vegetation and drives fast-spreading fires.
- Crop stress →Heat during flowering cuts grain yields.
- Marine heatwaves →The same idea, applied to sea temperature.
How we know this
- Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s Global Unified Temperature analysis: daily maximum temperature on a half-degree grid (about 50 km), built from weather-station reports worldwide. Global yearly temperature from NOAA Climate at a Glance.
- Update cadence: NOAA adds each day within a day or two; we check every night and re-read the last three weeks, which NOAA may revise.
- Methods: For each city and calendar day we take the 1991–2020 average and 90th percentile of daily highs, using the 15 days around the date. A heatwave is three or more days in a row above the 90th percentile (Perkins & Alexander 2013).
- Uncertainty: A grid value is an average over the grid square around a city, not a reading at one weather station; at the coast and in mountains it can differ from a local station by a few degrees, and where a grid square has no station of its own (Lagos and Bangkok, for example) its value is interpolated from the nearest ones. City centres are often hotter than the grid shows.
- Limitations: Daily highs only: humidity and hot nights, which matter most for health, are not included. Not a weather warning service; follow your national weather service.
- Primary data: NOAA CPC Global Temperature · NOAA Climate at a Glance · How this page is built